Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.255701 0.309664 0.374611 0.459285 0.567861 0.703911 8.896653e-01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.193009 0.262796 0.359805 0.508066 0.735486 1.082615 1.676298e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.142393 0.209874 0.313511 0.491203 0.803478 1.361803 2.520037e+00
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.120988 0.190709 0.307400 0.529102 0.971188 1.893235 4.229666e+00
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.095309 0.157116 0.266757 0.490488 0.979036 2.122541 5.517626e+00
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.079508 0.136319 0.242433 0.473445 1.022359 2.457941 7.460839e+00
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066564 0.117773 0.217497 0.446485 1.030761 2.713655 9.501099e+00
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060344 0.110554 0.212999 0.462949 1.155875 3.397250 1.427241e+01
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056489 0.107143 0.215455 0.496670 1.347306 4.469690 2.323674e+01
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053195 0.104197 0.218151 0.532125 1.566630 5.885829 3.867152e+01
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048275 0.096859 0.209062 0.532588 1.672335 6.954284 5.602134e+01
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046645 0.096505 0.216662 0.584350 2.001120 9.591433 1.050158e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043489 0.092389 0.214683 0.609159 2.258141 12.394019 1.868268e+02
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040131 0.087290 0.209218 0.621873 2.483101 15.557694 3.301151e+02
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035491 0.078321 0.191355 0.585558 2.451658 16.762708 4.539938e+02
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033981 0.076940 0.194554 0.627645 2.869663 23.219205 1.057154e+03
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030009 0.068618 0.175832 0.579089 2.742227 23.786055 1.371749e+03
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027278 0.063190 0.164800 0.557959 2.770741 26.467181 2.172253e+03
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024571 0.057474 0.151888 0.525092 2.704107 27.862060 3.087150e+03
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023433 0.055840 0.151381 0.545058 3.016593 36.291918 8.030374e+03
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022820 0.055557 0.155150 0.586089 3.538820 51.839990 3.375988e+04
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.022237 0.055269 0.158874 0.629355 4.151740 75.168890 2.328656e+05
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.020925 0.052687 0.154252 0.629920 4.403342 92.224352 1.274600e+06